College football picks against spread: Bruce Feldman’s second week picks

I had 1 week average, going 5-5-1 against the spread. The Good: Pick Penn State to win at Purdue. The Bad: Choosing LSU to do business with FSU. The Ugly: Choosing Oregon to keep it close to Georgia.

Here are the guesses for this week.

(All spreads come from BetMGM, click here For live odds, all kickoff times are Eastern.)

1 Alabama (-20.5) in Texas, Saturday, noon (Fox)

Steve Sarkissian has an inexperienced QB and doesn’t have enough athletes in defense to keep up with his old boss, Nick Saban.

Alabama 44, Texas 20
picking or picking: Alabama -20.5

South Carolina at No. 16 Arkansas (-8.5), noon (ESPN)

The Hogs are talented enough on defense to slow down Spencer Rattler and the Gamecocks, and KJ Jefferson would present a lot of trouble for the Carolinas to get a tough win down the road.

Arkansas 31, South Carolina 20
picking or picking: Arkansas -8.5

No. 24 TN (-6.5) at No. 17 Pete, 3:30 p.m. (ABC)

The intuition here is that the Panthers might have a hard time getting out of the gate with two shaky widths against strong opponents. Vols with Hendon Hooker have very great firepower.

TN 30, House 21
picking or picking: TN -6.5

Washington State at No. 19 Wisconsin (-17.5), 3:30 p.m. (Fox)

It’s Cam Ward’s first big FBS test, against a superb defense from Jim Leonard on the road. I think it would be a mixed bag for him and Braelon Allen would be giving cougars spells due to the badger’s physicality.

Wisconsin 35, Washington State 24
picking or picking: Washington State +17.5,500,000

Appalachian State at No. 6 Texas A&M (-18.5), 3:30 p.m. (ESPN2)

The app gave up a lot of points in a wild home game last week against UNC. I’m not sure they bounced back enough to play a good four quarters at College Station against a more physical team.

Texas A&M 45, Appalachian State.23
picking or picking: Texas A&M -18.5

Iowa State at Iowa (-3.5), 4 p.m., BTN

As horrific as the Hawkeyes’ offense sounded last week, I think they’ll respond with some other plays and score a win here.

Iowa 16, Iowa 10
picking or picking: Iowa -3.5

20 Kentucky at No. 12 Florida (-6), 7 p.m. (ESPN)

I’m not getting off the Anthony Richardson wagon right now. I like Will Levis a lot too, but I don’t think he has a good supporting team. He also struggled away from Lexington last year, posting a 6-6 TD-INT ratio compared to an 18-7 at home.

Florida 30, Kentucky 20
picking or picking: Florida -6

No. 10 USC (-8.5) at Stanford, 7:30 p.m. (ABC)

I love Tanner Mackie and Stanford has a pretty good talent for skill, but USC has a lot of juice and you’ll come to the Cardinal in waves.

USC 49, Stanford 28
picking or picking: USC -8.5

No. 9 Baylor at No. 21 BYU (-3), 10:15 p.m. (ESPN)

Jeff Grimes Paul. I almost chose BYU to beat the Bears here, but I think the Ron Roberts/Dave Aranda defense would be pretty strong up front and take over in the second half.

Baylor 24, BYU 20
picking or picking: Baylor +3

Mississippi State (-10.5) in Arizona, 11 p.m. (FS1)

A fun and exciting game between two coaches who have never played college football and both have strong ties to Steve Spurrier. Expect an unruly one. Both teams have good QBs and good wide. Leach and Bulldogs have more experience with these types of shooting, but they will be close.

Mississippi 63, Arizona 61
picking or picking: Arizona +10.5

This week’s special surprise: Houston at Texas Tech (-3.5), 4 p.m. (FS1)

Dana Holgorsen returns to Lubbock with great QB and plenty of talent on a large scale. I think they would be too much for the Red Raiders, although I like Tech backup QB Donovan Smith. It’s a name to remember.

Houston 34, Texas Tech 30
picking or picking: Houston +3.5

(Top photo: Michael C. Johnson/USA Today)

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