NHL 2022-23 Stanley Cup Playoffs Chances and Projected Standings

Welcome to our NHL Predictions and Odds page where you will find each team’s projected point total, probability of making the playoffs, and odds of advancing to each subsequent round, including winning the Stanley Cup.

Predictions are based on 50,000 simulations of the rest of the season, which affects each team’s projected strength, current health, and strength in their schedule (which includes opponent strength, venue, and rest). Each team’s projected strength is based on the expected value of the players on its roster based on Game Point Added Assessment (GSVA) ​​and can be found at the bottom of the article, along with a link to team depth charts which contain projected GSVA values ​​for each player. You can read more about the GSVA and the model here.

This page will be updated every morning. Click to expand any chart for a larger view.

All predictions and probabilities are rounded to the nearest whole number.


Last update: November 23, 2022, 9:30 a.m. EST

expected arrangement

division chances

Playoff chances

Depth charts

The above odds are based on each team’s expected winning percentage. For a closer look at how each team is currently ranked and why, you can check out each team’s depth chart by section at the links below. Depth charts will be updated weekly and will reflect current injuries. Depth charts contain the expected value of each player. You can find her actual value for the season here.

Atlantic | Metropolitan | Central | Pacific

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