With the opening date only a few days away, it’s time to score again with predictions for the 2023 season and beyond in the off-season. While we wait for the season to kick off, here are 23 bold (and not so bold) predictions for the year. Like all preseason predictions, some will come out and others will flop. Let me know what you think, and share your predictions, in the comments section. 1. Juan Soto, who turned down a 15-year, $440 million offer from the Nationals before he was traded…
Read MoreTag: Arizona Diamondbacks
Minors Madness: Round 1, Hoo-Hoos and Gasbags regions
The bracket of 64 teams is set. Let’s admire it: As you can see, Friday’s vote in the Gasbags didn’t result in a single surprise. It was the least dramatic round of voting yet. Good fare for the Senators, Fightin Phils, Braves, Aviators, Cubs, Missions, Threshers, Redbirds, Clippers, Braves (again), Bandits, Dodgers and Baysox. The closest match was between Emeralds No. 16 and Blue Rocks No. 17, which was determined by a margin of 53.8-46.2 percent. But, before we looked forward, a quick shout out to the defeated Blue Rocks.…
Read MoreSarris: Ten young MLB pitchers poised to break out this season
It’s really hard to develop a starting pitcher these days. The ratio of starters 24 and under to starters 33 and over hasn’t been lower in a long time, suggesting two things: We’ve both gotten better at keeping pitchers going longer, and it’s gotten harder to produce an MLB-ready starting pitcher early in their careers. The fantasy market seems to have reacted by mostly taking a wait-and-see approach with young pitchers. The highest a pure prospect is going this year is around pick 200, and that one, the Orioles’ Grayson…
Read MoreSarris: MLB’s top four rebounding candidates selected for 2023
Optimism is a springtime tradition, and it seems increasingly so is this column. The allure of dreaming of better days for players who’ve had a poor 2022 is just something that resonates with anyone who’s suffered before, especially before the pitchers and catchers decided. One of the fun things about continuing this tradition—as we look at veterans expected to bounce back the most poor years—is that we can take a look at how this column has performed so far. Last year, of the 20 players expected to bounce farthest, only…
Read MoreBaseball Hall of Fame ballots 2023: The Athletic’s voters reveal their selections
Barry Bonds, Roger Clemens and Curt Schilling no longer dominate the annual conversation around Hall of Fame voting, having collectively fallen off the ballot in their final years of eligibility. But that doesn’t mean everything is suddenly straightforward, especially with this year’s addition of Carlos Beltrán, so inexorably tied to the 2017 Houston Astros sign-stealing scandal. Meanwhile, with those big names gone, candidates like Scott Rolen, Andruw Jones, and Billy Wagner could see the gains made in recent years accelerate. We asked some of The Athletic’s writers who vote for…
Read MoreThe Year in Strange But True: Judge! Ohtani! And MLB’s 20 most mind-blowing hitting, pitching feats
Hey! I know you’re about to join your friends and loved ones to sing a Champagne-drenched chorus of “Auld Lang Syne.” But first, did you know that the definition of Auld Lang Syne has something to do with “fondly remembering old times”? No kidding. So here’s an idea. Let’s all fondly remember the Strange But True baseball season of 2022. In which … A guy taking his first swing in the big leagues hit a foul ball to his mother. … And another guy got called up and then debuted before he…
Read MoreLO: When the Blue Jays sent Moreno and Gurel to the Diamondbacks for Farshaw, did both teams win?
That may not be warm enough for a hot stove, but the trade that sent Daulton Varsho from Arizona to Toronto for Gabriel Moreno and Lourdes Gurriel could be good for both sides. Varshaw had a quiet breakout in 2022, hitting . 235/. 302/. 443 in hitter-friendly Phoenix, but he played outstanding outfield defense while also being behind the plate in 31 games. He’s not a good defensive player but he’s a plus runner and athlete who was well above the league average in both quarterback and right field last…
Read MoreTop 25 remaining MLB free agents: Which teams will land Correa, Rodón, Swanson?
MLB teams have already spent more than $2.5 billion on free agents, but some clubs are just getting started. Nineteen of the top 25 free agents from my original ranking in early November have signed, but the new top 25 of remaining free agents will likely receive another billion dollars in this hot market. Two of the elite free-agent shortstops have signed, but Carlos Correa and Dansby Swanson are still on the board. Two of the top-tier starting pitchers have inked new deals, but Carlos Rodón is still available. Where will…
Read MoreRosenthal: What I’m hearing about how the MLB free agent market is evolving
The sudden generosity teams that appear with no-star agents in their 30s will prompt some players to adjust their approach to the open market. In fact, this is already happening. Take Japan’s Kodai Senga, who wanted to pull out after three years on his $75 million, five-year deal with the Mets. Senga will become a free agent again when he turns 33, but if he proves himself in the big companies, he will be in demand. Some of the older players are extending their initial stints with better training and…
Read MoreMLB Hot Stove matchmaking: A free-agent fit for all 30 teams ahead of the Winter Meetings
Happy week before the Winter Meetings! It’s been a slow free-agent signing season so far, with only six players from my top 25 list off the board. José Abreu and Tyler Anderson landed three-year deals with the Astros and Angels, respectively, while Edwin Díaz, Anthony Rizzo, Clayton Kershaw and Martín Pérez (accepted the qualifying offer) re-signed with their teams. Now, as people around baseball pack their bags and get ready to fly to San Diego for the meetings, we’re all eagerly waiting for the next free-agent shoe to drop, which…
Read More